Dear Frank,
First of all, thank you very much for all your insight and thought that goes into helping us have a better time at the tables.
My question is: How do I know when it's time to bet heavier when a shooter is having a good roll? I've been told that "scared money never wins" but I also know that betting stupid never wins either. How do you do it? So many times I have waited too long to bet only to be left with thoughts of "Missing the Boat" afterwards. And most of the time I am "forcing" the issue by trying to change the way the dice are landing.
I am not a very good shooter but I love the excitement of the game, especially when it's a hot table. Unfortunately that's not usually the case. When do you know when it's going to get better or when to walk away?
I also would like to know where your school is located?
Thanks again!
Rick
Dear Rick:
When a random shooter has been having a blistering roll, the chances of him sevening out on the next roll are the exact same as his chances of sevening out on the very first roll of the point cycle or the second or tenth or twentieth and so on. So increasing your bet merely increases your losses over time. In short, there is never really a good time to bet on any random roller because what happened in the past is no indication of what will happen next.
Since you never know in advance who is going to have a good roll, you must bet on everyone to be on those good rolls and, sadly, betting on everyone means you are going to lose in the long run.
You can use the 5-Count to cut the number of random rolls you face by about 57 percent. That still doesn't mean you will win in the long run, it just means you will lose less - which is a good thing in and of itself. The 5-Count will also allow you to find controlled shooters better than the "bet-all" players. Check out this article for more information: http://www.goldentouchcraps.com/proof.shtml
There is really only one way to get an edge over the house at craps - and that is to learn how to control the dice or be able to bet on people who can control the dice, such as accomplished Golden Touch shooters. Such shooters are rare individuals because dice control is not just learning how to set the dice, which anyone can do, but learning how to alter the random nature of a dice roll - a tough thing to do since it requires practice, practice and more practice.
If you don't want to learn controlled shooting then my recommendation is to only make Pass Line and Come bets after the 5-Count is reached. Bring 10 times your betting spread for your session stake and say your prayers!
I am giving you a free one-month subscription to my private web site at www.goldentouchcraps.com.
All the best in and out of the casinos!
Frank Scoblete
