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Best of Frank Scoblete
What do you think of my throw?17 August 2008
Last first: Are you crazy or lucky? You seem to understand precision shooting well so crazy is out. Also, your letter is very well written so crazy is out again. Now, are you just lucky? I don't know. Here are some questions to ask yourself to determine if you are just lucky:
1. In your practice at home with this shot, what is your SRR over, say, 10,000 rolls?
2. Have you tested your throw with SmartCraps, a software program that measures axis control?
3. Are the 4s and 10s being bought where the house takes its vig only on wins? Or does the house take its vig on all buys of those numbers?
4. If you have played a lot, and I mean a lot, at the casinos, are you ahead enough to make you think that you unquestionably have an edge over the game?
Now, your bad nights are caused by betting on all the random rollers at your table, usually betting the same on all of them that you bet on yourself. Use the 5-Count on others as it will reduce your risk by 57 percent, otherwise you face the following:
Say your edge is a healthy 5 percent and for every placement of the 6 or 8 you only face a 1.5 percent house edge. So for every $100 that you bet, you win $3.50 (subtract 1.5 percent from 5 percent and your edge is 3.5 percent).
Now you are up $3.50 and you start betting on all the other shooters - let us say there are 10 others at the table. You lose $1.5 per player on average. That's a big $15. So minus your win, $3.50 from $15, and you are left with a loss of $11.50. So even with a controlled shot you are a loser in such situations.
The 5-Count will reduce your betting on random rolls by 57 percent, which means you will lose a total of $6.45 - still a loss but much less than before. Now, to assure a long-term win, you must bet much less on those random rollers - at least half as much but preferably one-fourth or more. Now, you beat the house.
Now to your throw:
It is unique all right. Hitting the back wall on a fly is highly unusual; in fact, I have never seen that done constantly by the same shooter in all my 20 years of playing. I am surprised they let you do it. I do wonder how you manage to hit the wall softly enough from across the length of the table on a fly to prevent that back wall's pyramids to randomize your throw. I would think the rebound would be immense.
However, if you are winning over an extended period of time to rule out luck and if your SRR is really showing an edge, well like the Arm, the greatest dice controller of all time, whose unique throw has never been duplicated, you have a truly unique throw yourself and a unique talent. If you ever take a Golden Touch dice control course, I'd love to see that throw in action.
For your truly excellent letter I am giving you a free 10-day subscription to my private web site at www.goldentouchcraps.com. We have over 5,000 members and the discussions are interesting, exciting and fun. I think you will enjoy the site and I encourage you to post and take part on our various message boards.
All the best in and out of the casinos!
This article is provided by the Frank Scoblete Network. Melissa A. Kaplan is the network's managing editor. If you would like to use this article on your website, please contact Casino City Press, the exclusive web syndication outlet for the Frank Scoblete Network. To contact Frank, please e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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