CasinoCityTimes.com

Gurus
News
Newsletter
Author Home Author Archives Author Books Send to a Friend Search Articles Subscribe
Stay informed with the
NEW Casino City Times newsletter!
Newsletter Signup
Stay informed with the
NEW Casino City Times newsletter!
Articles in this Series
Best of Frank Scoblete

Gaming Guru

author's picture
 

Roulette Signatures - Part 1

13 May 2002

Roulette dealers get into a rhythm. They pick up the ball from the pocket where it last hit the same way each time. They then spin it the same way each time, with the same force. Thus, the ball will spin the same number of spins and should land the same number of pockets away from the last spin. This unconscious ability or trait to place the ball, not so much in a given section, but a given distance from the last hit is called dealer signing or a dealer signature.

Experts have lined up on either side of the dealer signature issue -- some yea, some nay. Essentially, it boils down to a matter of belief. Some experts believe that some dealers unconsciously do this; some experts believe there is no consistency to the distance that the ball travels from one spin to the next and, with the changing rotor spin over time, it would be impossible to achieve consistency anyway.

However, the dealer signature is an interesting concept and could have some credence because -- one: it makes sense, and two, like Mulder on The X-Files, we want to believe it's true. Of course, if one could follow a thousand dealers and record their spins over thousands of decisions, it might be possible to determine once and for all whether the signature idea is a myth or a reality. To this date, we know of no such extensive study as this. The actual accomplishing of such a study would be much more difficult than just the recording of thousands of dealers and thousands of their spins.

Since we are looking for an unconscious ability that these dealers might have, we wouldn't want them to know that we are studying them because that would affect their spins. Once dealers realized that we were looking at them specifically, they would become highly conscious of what they were doing. If any signature actually existed with such a dealer, their awareness of their spinning technique would very quickly erase whatever signature they had. So the study of possible signatures would have to be done surreptitiously, without the dealer noticing, and there's the rub. How could a researcher stand by a dealer's table, follow the dealer from table to table, hour after hour, day after day, recording and analyzing his spins without the dealer becoming aware of such a person? At first the dealer might think that the wheel was being clocked, but it wouldn't take long for him to suspect that it was his spins that were being clocked. Even if the dealer thought it was the machine being clocked, this still might cause him to alter his spin.

Now, wouldn't a biased-wheel watcher also affect a dealer's spin? (A biased wheel is one with a physical defect of some type that causes certain numbers to appear out of proportion to their probabilities.) Yes. Certainly a dealer would eventually become aware of someone standing near his table recording thousands of spins to ascertain whether the wheel was biased. Yes, it might make the dealer self-conscious. Yes, the dealer might change how he spins the ball. But, in truth, none of this would matter. On a biased wheel any number of dealers will spin the ball with any amount of force, causing the ball to make any number of revolutions around the wheel, and all this wouldn't affect the bias one whit because that bias was in the wheel itself and had nothing to do with the spinning of the ball or the dealer. But anything that is dealer-dependent and dependent on the dealer being unaware is immediately changed when the dealer becomes aware. In this case, as in Quantum Mechanics in physics, the observer interferes with the observed by the mere fact that he is observing! And good-bye dealer signature. So I doubt if an actual practical test of dealer signatures is workable in the real world of casino play.

The other way to look at it is that dealer signatures must necessarily vary as the wheel speed slows down over time. The dealer might spin the ball the same way time and again but with each ball-spin he is playing into a fractionally different wheel-spin. Thus, dealer signatures would move slowly around the wheel as the wheel itself slowed. When the wheel was respun and thus accelerated, you would see the same patterns as last time. You would have to then analyze the pattern of the signature -- an even more complicated task.

Still, if dealer signatures exist, certainly they would be exploitable in long and short-term play, especially short-term play as the gradual slowing of the wheel's spin would not affect the signature quite so drastically. If the dealer signature exists, then it will help us to win. If it doesn't exist, it can't hurt us -- since it isn't increasing the house edge against us. We merely face the same house edge we would have faced had we played any layout strategy. Still analyzing signatures is a technique of play that might be able to change the edge in our favor. It's worth a try.

Next time: Finding Possible Signatures

Articles in this Series
Best of Frank Scoblete
Frank Scoblete

Frank Scoblete is the #1 best selling gaming author in America. His newest books are Slots Conquest: How to Beat the Slot Machines; Everything Casino Poker: Get the Edge at Video Poker, Texas Hold'em, Omaha Hi-Lo and Pai Gow Poker!; Beat Blackjack Now: The Easiest Way to Get the Edge; Casino Craps: Shoot to Win!; Cutting Edge Craps: Advanced Strategies for Serious Players; Casino Conquest: Beat the Casinos at Their Own Games! and The Virgin Kiss.

Frank and Casino City Times columnist Jerry "Stickman" teach private lessons in dice control. Frank's books are available at Amazon.com, in bookstores or by mail order. Call 1-800-944-0406 or write to Frank Scoblete Enterprises, PO Box 446, Malverne, NY 11565. Frank can also be reached by email at fscobe@optonline.net.

Frank Scoblete Websites:

www.goldentouchcraps.com
www.goldentouchblackjack.com

Books by Frank Scoblete:

> More Books By Frank Scoblete

Frank Scoblete
Frank Scoblete is the #1 best selling gaming author in America. His newest books are Slots Conquest: How to Beat the Slot Machines; Everything Casino Poker: Get the Edge at Video Poker, Texas Hold'em, Omaha Hi-Lo and Pai Gow Poker!; Beat Blackjack Now: The Easiest Way to Get the Edge; Casino Craps: Shoot to Win!; Cutting Edge Craps: Advanced Strategies for Serious Players; Casino Conquest: Beat the Casinos at Their Own Games! and The Virgin Kiss.

Frank and Casino City Times columnist Jerry "Stickman" teach private lessons in dice control. Frank's books are available at Amazon.com, in bookstores or by mail order. Call 1-800-944-0406 or write to Frank Scoblete Enterprises, PO Box 446, Malverne, NY 11565. Frank can also be reached by email at fscobe@optonline.net.

Frank Scoblete Websites:

www.goldentouchcraps.com
www.goldentouchblackjack.com

Books by Frank Scoblete:

> More Books By Frank Scoblete