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Is setting for the field a good bet?3 October 2012
Now, assuming we believe this person is a good dice controller as he says, would going for the 16 field combinations be a smart bet?
The answer is a resounding no.
The field has a 5.6 percent house edge, which means a shooter must have a very good command of dice control to be able to overcome it. Many players think, “Wow, there are sixteen ways to make these numbers!” Of course, there are 20 ways to lose.
The field actually can be looked at as having 18 ways of bringing in the money since the 2 and 12 will pay 2 to 1. OK, you can look at it that way as well.
Even if the field pays 3 to 1 on either a 2 or 12, the bet is still not as good as other ways to approach controlled shooting. This can be proven simply.
If you can set for the field and bring those numbers up and have an edge (yes, this would have to be a darn good shooter!) imagine how much more money you could make setting to hit the 6, 8, 4 and 10, which have the same number of ways to make them – 16! But instead of facing a 5.6 percent edge on the field wager, by betting the 6, 8, 4 and 10 numbers straight up, you will only face an edge that is about four times less!
The reason is that the 6 and 8 place bets have a house edge of 1.52 percent; the 4 and 10 "buy" bets have a house edge of 1.3 percent if you can pay the $1 or $2 vig on a $25 or $50 bet on wins only.
With 16 ways to make these four numbers, you will hit them the same number of times as you would hit the field, yet you will make significantly more money doing so – about four times more!
Controlled shooters have to realize that the more you bet into high house-edge bets, the less you make. Even if you take some of the elite Golden Touch shooters who have outrageously good control, they make less money on the high house edge bets too. They may be able to overcome the high house edges, yes, but those edges eat away at them just as they eat away at the random rollers.
So, bottom line, should you set for and try to hit the field numbers? The answer once again is a resounding no.
This article is provided by the Frank Scoblete Network. Melissa A. Kaplan is the network's managing editor. If you would like to use this article on your website, please contact Casino City Press, the exclusive web syndication outlet for the Frank Scoblete Network. To contact Frank, please e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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